Middleboro Review and so on

  Morning Digest: The site of 2018's biggest shocker might soon draw renewed Democratic interest The DCCC is reportedly eyeing a seat the GOP gerrymandered after an upset in the last blue wave David Nir and Jeff Singer Sep 25 Jena Nelson, Democratic nominee for Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District. (Credit: Jena Nelson Facebook) Leading Off OK-05 The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee reportedly plans to direct “major funding” to help Democrat Jena Nelson defeat Republican Rep. Stephanie Bice in Oklahoma’s 5th conservative District, according to a Nelson staffer who spoke with The Oklahoman . National groups had not previously signaled that they consider the race competitive. But Nelson also shared an internal poll arguing that she has a path to victory in a constituency Republicans—who lost this seat in 2018 during Donald Trump’s first midterm before regaining it two years later—aggressively gerrymandered to make sure it would always stay red. The survey , conducted by ...

  If you haven’t read it yet, I strongly encourage you to check out Daniel Donner’s groundbreaking new report that explains how primary turnout predicts general election results. This piece is exclusively available to paid subscribers like you. Massive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since Watergate Daniel Donner · Sep 22 Read full story The bottom line is that massive turnout in Democratic primaries across the nation this year suggests that Democrats could rack up a monster 13-point margin in the House popular vote. That would translate into a huge landslide beyond even what we saw in 2018—but only if Democrats are prepared to capitalize on it. Beyond the key takeaway, I also want to emphasize the extraordinary work that went into this piece. Dan didn’t just scribble out a few numbers on the back of a napkin. He collected election results going back more than a century, and in so doing, he uncovered a previously hidden pattern that has held true for eight dec...